Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 21 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla No için 66% fiyatlıyor.

Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2029.

Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria:

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Hayır 66%

Tahminciler

Soru türü

binary

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

4 saat önce güncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

18 Nis 25 20:06 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Kurallar

Resolution criteria:

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next presidential election in El Salvador is deemed both free and fair by a majority of reputable international election monitoring organizations, such as the Organization of American States (OAS) and the European Union (EU).
Conversely, it will resolve to "No" if these organizations report significant irregularities or violations that compromise the election's freedom and fairness.
The next presidential election is scheduled for 2029, although this contract will resolve for the next presidential election after the 2024 election, regardless of when it is held.
El Salvador held its most recent presidential election on February 4, 2024.
Incumbent President Nayib Bukele secured re-election with approximately 84.6% of the vote.