Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 91.4%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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14 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis3 Mar 26 04:02 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the US deploy ground groups to Iran by which date?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia deploy troops into Iran by end 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill America send troops to Iran?
Manifold MarketsIsrael ground operation in Iran confirmed by which date?
PolymarketWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by which date?
PolymarketIf Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolves YES if at least 1000 ground troops are deployed in Iran in 2026.
- Resolves to a consensus of popular reporting.
- If there's an estimate like "about a thousand", that will be adequate, I don't want to litigate which of two independent estimates of 950 or 1050 troops are more accurate; I'll resolve in the spirit of the question.
- I will not bet in this market (after initial bet to a reasonable probability).