Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 56.9%
Tahminciler
2
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
16 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis3 Tem 26 09:09 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
Resolves YES if there is strong evidence that the US government has materially cut ASML off from Cymer before January 1st 2030.
- For this market, “cut ASML off from Cymer” means that a US government action prevents, or is clearly intended to prevent, ASML from owning, controlling, receiving, using, or relying on Cymer’s products, services, technology, personnel, IP, parts, or manufacturing capacity in a way that is material to ASML’s lithography business.
- Examples that would resolve YES include:
- A US law, executive order, sanctions action, export-control action, CFIUS action, court order, or agency order requiring ASML to divest, spin off, sell, firewall, or otherwise separate Cymer from ASML.
- A US government action prohibiting Cymer from supplying ASML or other ASML group entities with light sources, components, maintenance, engineering support, software, IP, manufacturing services, or related technology.
- ASML, Cymer, the US government, or multiple credible major news sources report that US restrictions have effectively blocked ASML from using Cymer in its lithography products or operations.
