Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 84.2%
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As classified by their polity score https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polity_data_series#Scores_for_2018
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/DismalScientist/will-the-us-be-a-democracy-in-2050)