Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated?
PolitikaOne-OffSeçimMiddle EastJeopolitik2yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 87.5%
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Guncelligini yitirmis7 Nis 26 17:26 UTC20 Oca 29 12:00 UTC
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FutuurKurallar
This market will only resolve no once:
- the media consensus is that the Iran war is over (not just a ceasefire), OR
- a temporary ceasefire has gone on for 365 contiguous days.
- Otherwise, it will resolve yes when the next Democratic party nominee for President is inaugurated and there is not an active ceasefire.
- If a ceasefire is ongoing at the time of inauguration, this market will not resolve until either the ceasefire ends or it reaches 365 contiguous days (inclusive of days prior to inauguration).
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 88% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 20 Ocak 2029.
- Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market will only resolve no once: