Will the Trump administration militarize New York City before the 2026 Midterms?
One-OffABD SiyasetiPolitikaJeopolitikSeçim7g
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 95.6%
Tahminciler
24
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
11 dakika önce güncellendi
3 Eyl 25 19:20 UTC3 Kas 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the Trump administration militarize Chicago before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill the Trump administration militarize Los Angeles again before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill the Trump administration militarize Baltimore before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWho will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
PolymarketWill Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
PolymarketWill Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31?
PolymarketKurallar
This market resolves Yes if the Trump administration deploys any military assets such as the National Guard or the Marine Corps to the city of New York, New York before November 4th 2026.
- Although there is no legal process for federalizing the police outside of Washington, DC, if the Trump administration for example successfully commandeers the NYPD, this will also be considered sufficient for a Yes as the spirit of the market is about armed federal takeovers of US cities.
- Normal logistical movement of the military throughout the country does not count.
- Active service members must be in the streets, on camera, or otherwise uncontroversially described by a major news outlet as deployed in NYC in excess of what is normal, ie. a small military presence at a major airport on Christmas in line with past Homeland Security activity would not be sufficient.
- It is likely that Trump will be loudly and clearly declaring any such actions, so this market will probably have a clear resolution.
- Feel free to ask clarifying questions in the comments.
