Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 85%
Tahminciler
9
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
13 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis12 Eyl 23 10:06 UTC1 Oca 31 20:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Which year will the first nuclear power plant in Poland start producing power?
Manifold MarketsWill the first SMR nuclear power plant in Poland produce energy before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine suffer nuclear power plant meltdowns during the Russia war?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion Energy have a power plant in operation by the end of 2028?
ForecastExWill any country become a new nuclear power in 2026?
FutuurUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketKurallar
The market resolves as YES if a nuclear power plant used primarily for electricity production has at least a partial meltdown (as in Three Miles Island) before the end of 2030.
- The meltdown should be bad enough to require the shutdown of the reactor.
- It would not necessarily lead to the release of radioactive material (the meltdown could be fully contained).
- The market resolves as NO if no such accident occured.
- Voluntary meltdown of fuel assemblies for research purposes in small research facilities are excluded.
- Only power plants are considered, submarine/ship reactors are excluded.
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+2.0pt76%
- September 18+3.0pt72%
- September 11+6.0pt66%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺89,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺31,7 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+0.5pt75%
- New People (NL)-0.8pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.2pt3%
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+4.0pt84.2%
- Yes-4.0pt15.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺542,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺14,5 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt50.4%
- October 31-1.0pt28.7%
- September 30-1.0pt12.2%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-5.0pt29%
- Before Jan 1, 202826%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt10%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺391,8 Mn
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the reactor core of a nuclear power plant melt before EOY 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 10 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 85% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the reactor core of a nuclear power plant melt before EOY 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the reactor core of a nuclear power plant melt before EOY 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2031.
- Will the reactor core of a nuclear power plant melt before EOY 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: The market resolves as YES if a nuclear power plant used primarily for electricity production has at least a partial meltdown (as in Three Miles Island) before the end of 2030.