Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028?
One-OffUS PoliticsRegülasyon2yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 84%
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10 dakika önce güncellendi
18 Ağu 24 14:06 UTC2 Ara 28 06:59 UTC
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I will resolve to yes if I conclude that the child tax credit, as signed into law, will give 5,000$ per child to the majority of parents.
- If a minority of parents will not be eligible to receive the full amount, such as because the benefit is not fully refundable or because it's not available to those with too high an income, I will still resolve to yes.
- But if there are enough eligibility restrictions that the I conclude that majority of parents will not be eligible to receive the full amount, I will resolve no.
- I will resolve yes if the measure is signed into law, even if it doesn't go into effect before Nov 7 2028, and even if it is later blocked by the courts.
- I will not bet in this market.
- [ETA: if it's more than 5,000, I will still resolve yes.]
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 84% fiyatlıyor.
- Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Aralık 2028.
- Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: I will resolve to yes if I conclude that the child tax credit, as signed into law, will give 5,000$ per child to the majority of parents.