Will the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution?
YZOne-Off1y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 65.9%
Tahminciler
8
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
15 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis14 Ara 25 12:37 UTC31 Ara 27 23:59 UTC
Trendler
Kurallar
YES if a major, new AI model (released within 6 months) correctly predicts the final outcome of this specific market when prompted with the market text 90 days after its launch.
- Otherwise, NO.
- Update 2026-01-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the AI model predicts NO, creating a logical paradox where no consistent resolution exists, the creator will resolve the market to N/A (canceling the market and returning all mana to traders).
