Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 94.4%
Tahminciler
30
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
8 dakika önce güncellendi
9 Oca 26 23:05 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will the current wave of Iranian protests be suppressed by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Iranian protests end?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
PolymarketKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
PolymarketUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
This market resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026, all of the following conditions are met:
- - The current wave of protests (beginning December 28, 2025) has substantially subsided
- - The Islamic Republic system of government remains intact
- - Cumulative protester deaths reached or exceeded 1,500 according to credible sources (Amnesty International, Iran Human Rights, HRANA, or Reuters)
- Resolves NO if:
- - The Islamic Republic fell or underwent fundamental constitutional change, OR
