Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance?

Sık sorulan sorular

Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 26 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 82.9% fiyatlıyor.

Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.

Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?

Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: BASELINE (2025 leader): The current leader as of Aug 2025 appears to be GPT-4.5 with ~90.2% on MMLU, with Claude 4 and Gemini 2.5 Pro at ~85-86%

Bu piyasayı kodda veya bir yapay zeka ajanında kullanın

Bu piyasa için ücretsiz JSON, API anahtarı gerekmez:

Yapay zeka ajanları: CoinRithm MCP sunucusunda pm_data_event aracını çağırın:

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+10.0pt94%
• December 15,+10.5pt93%
• November 30,+29.5pt89%

+15 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim

₺291,5 Mn

24s Hacim

₺17,5 Mn

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Feb 1, 2027+8.0pt95.5%
• Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt95.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+5.0pt

KALSHI

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?

• America First+61.0pt99.5%
• Working Class / Middle Class+39.0pt99.5%
• Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime+21.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+1.5pt29.5%
• $2.0–$2.25T+3.6pt22.9%
• $1.5–$1.75T-3.0pt16.2%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+4.1pt59.6%
• Gemini+0.1pt30.3%
• ChatGPT-0.6pt

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027-9.5pt46%
• 2026-1.8pt13%

+1 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim

₺53,7 Mn

24s Hacim

₺3,5 Mn

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