Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?
One-OffToplum ve Kültür1yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 69.1%
Tahminciler
134
Soru türü
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
49 dakika önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli21 Eki 22 15:29 UTC1 Oca 28 04:59 UTC
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Kalshi👍👎 Manifold Leadership Approval Rating [Market Index]
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolves according to my subjective judgement.
- I will welcome stakeholder input when resolving the question but reserve the right to resolve contrary to the opinion of market participants if necessary.
- I reserve the right to bet on this market but tentatively expect to stop betting in the last two years (2026-2027).
- "Popular" being a loosely defined combination of public attention / resources, total adherents, and references in social discourse.
- Resolves as N/A if there doesn't seem to be a clear answer at close.
- Related markets from me on subjective popularity:
