Will the 2026 Time Person of the Year be a single person?
ABD SiyasetiOne-OffSağlık ve TıpRusya / Ukrayna1ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 52.9%
Tahminciler
10
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
9 dakika önce güncellendi
9 Kas 26 22:39 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a single person become TIME's 2026 Person of the Year?
PolymarketWill there be a single-person unicorn before 2027?
Manifold MarketsTime's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiTime's Person of the Year for 2026 (mirror)
Manifold MarketsWill TIME's 2026 Person of the Year be EXCLUSIVELY one person?
Manifold MarketsWho will be on the 2026 Time Person Of The Year Shortlist?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if TIME magazine names exactly one individual human being as the 2026 "Person of the Year" upon its official announcement.
- This market resolves to NO if TIME chooses any of the following for the 2026 title:
- Multiple named individuals jointly (e.g., 2020's Joe Biden and Kamala Harris).
- A group or collective archetype (e.g., 2017's "The Silence Breakers", 2014's "The Ebola Fighters", 2011's "The Protester").
- An object, technology, or abstract concept (e.g., 1982's "The Computer", 2006's "You").