Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
26 Eki 2026 03:24 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiHayır 94.6%
Tahminciler
29
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis26 Şub 24 18:54 UTC1 Oca 31 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will SpaceX be nationalized during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsAny American frontier AI lab (e.g. OpenAI, Anthropic) nationalized by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsAny leading Chinese AI lab (e.g. Deepseek, Moonshot, Zhipu) nationalized by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (not a bank)
Manifold MarketsWill Russia announce completion of an AI data center with >10,000 AI accelerators (GPUs/TPUs) before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich Money & Macro megatrends for 2026 will be correct?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
Market inspired by various tweets calling for this to happen.
- Curious what odds Manifold puts on it (presumably low).
- I assume it will be relatively obvious if this happens or not, will defer to opinion of traders in case of high ambiguity.
