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Gecikmeli6 Ağu 26 02:45 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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PolymarketKurallar
Follow up to @/ZviMowshowitz/will-something-happen-this-week-in
- Something happening is hereby defined as Zvi making a dedicated blogpost about said AI-related event, similar to OpenAI's Unreleased Model Astra Solves Ten Major Open Mathematics Problems or Further Developments About Internal AI Models Hacking Things, rather than just mentioning it in the regularly-scheduled AI posts.
- Something like The Three AI Pills won't count because its not about a specific event.
- Each week will resolve to "something happened" if: 1) An AI-related event happened that week 2) Zvi made a dedicated post about said event within 14 days of it happening So i.e. if something happens on Aug 12th, it's OK if the post about it comes out any time on or before Aug 26th.
- Market will resolve based off the spirit of the stated criteria, various technicalities won't count.
- The intent is to see whether we're about to approach a "singularity of AI news" where something keeps happening every single week.
Açık piyasalar
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-13.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-high+1.0pt5%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺7,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,8 Mn
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+20.0pt63.5%
- 2027-3.5pt26.1%
- 2026+5.5pt10.4%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-0.5pt86%
- November 30,85%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude61.8%
- ChatGPT-4.9pt22.6%
- Grok+1.5pt7.8%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺511,4 Mn
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+4.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-3.0pt12%
- Grok2.8%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺18,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-3.0pt67%
- 1490+-5.5pt50%
- 1500+-10.0pt23%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will something happen in AI every single week between now and Dec 31st? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 83% fiyatlıyor.
- Will something happen in AI every single week between now and Dec 31st? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will something happen in AI every single week between now and Dec 31st? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will something happen in AI every single week between now and Dec 31st? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Follow up to @/ZviMowshowitz/will-something-happen-this-week-in