Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 91.9%
Tahminciler
6
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
6 dakika önce güncellendi
14 Eyl 26 19:52 UTC30 Eyl 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?
PolymarketJacob Coxon Will Appear on the All-In Podcast with the Besties
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketTencent market share this week
KalshiKurallar
Two Jacob Co??n’s in AI safety — It hasn’t happened yet, but I feel like it’s bound to…
- Resolves YES if this unambiguously happened (eg someone sending me an email that was clearly meant for Jacob Coxon).
- Resolves 50% if it’s something more marginal / unclear (like if someone misspeaks).
- Resolves NO if I have no evidence this happened by the end of the month.
- I will be excluding any efforts that I suspect were done to manipulate this market.
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
Açık piyasalar
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.6pt68.3%
- ChatGPT-1.9pt13.5%
- Gemini+1.3pt10.6%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺562,9 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,4 Mn
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+18.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺13,5 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-10.0pt70%
- December 15,+10.5pt65%
- November 30,-0.5pt49%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 24.3%+3.0pt99%
- Above 24%+6.0pt99%
- Above 23.6%99%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺11,3 Mn
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.55%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.25%99%
+6 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺13,8 Mn
- 24s Hacim
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 daha fazla sonuç
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best AI this week
- Anthropic lab leak by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Claude Opus released on?
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
- When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will someone confuse me (Jacob Cohen) with Jacob Coxon during the month of September? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 20 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 92% fiyatlıyor.
- Will someone confuse me (Jacob Cohen) with Jacob Coxon during the month of September? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will someone confuse me (Jacob Cohen) with Jacob Coxon during the month of September? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 30 Eylül 2026.
- Will someone confuse me (Jacob Cohen) with Jacob Coxon during the month of September? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Two Jacob Co??n’s in AI safety — It hasn’t happened yet, but I feel like it’s bound to…