Veri kalitesi uyarısıEski veriler
10 Eyl 2026 12:30 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel ima edilen olasılık
Claude 59.7%7 seçenek arasında liderMarj düzeltmeli: platformun ham fiyatları %100 üzerinde toplandığı için normalize edildi.
Piyasa kalitesi
48 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
₺305,3 B
Likidite
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Likidite bilinmiyorSpread
1.0 pt
Dar spreadİşlemciler
0
Piyasa verileri
dün güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis4 Mar 26 11:46 UTC1 Oca 27 04:59 UTC
Trendler
59.7%
20.9%
7.7%
7.7%
1.5%
1.5%
1%
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Best AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?
PolymarketSecond-best AI Agent Lab end of October?
PolymarketBest AI time horizon by August 2026, per METR?
Manifold MarketsWhich company will have the best AI model at the end of 2026?
FutuurKurallar
Best AI at the end of 2026?
- If Anthropic has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls).
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
Tahmin Kaynağı Karşılaştırması
Açık piyasalar
AIPOLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+17.5pt88%
- 2026+36.0pt72%
- September 30, 2026+29.0pt44%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺7 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺3,1 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture+16.0pt42.3%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer+4.0pt26%
- Yang-Mills+13.7pt15.4%
+3 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+33.0pt90%
- 2026+48.0pt73%
- September 30, 2026+20.0pt34%
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-23.0pt38%
- 2027-1.0pt17%
- 2026-2.0pt5%
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+9.1pt63.2%
- ChatGPT-0.8pt19.8%
- Gemini6.6%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺522,1 Mn
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺137,8 Mn
- Anthropic market share this week
- Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
- Tencent market share this week
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- OpenAI market share this week
Sık sorulan sorular
- Best AI at the end of 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Gemini, 10 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Claude için 60% fiyatlıyor.
- Best AI at the end of 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Best AI at the end of 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Best AI at the end of 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Gemini bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026? başka nerede listeleniyor?
- Aynı soru şu platformlarda da listeleniyor: Futuur, Polymarket.