Will "Shutdown Resistance in Reasoning Models" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Sık sorulan sorular

Will "Shutdown Resistance in Reasoning Models" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 20 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla No için 81% fiyatlıyor.

Will "Shutdown Resistance in Reasoning Models" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Will "Shutdown Resistance in Reasoning Models" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Şubat 2027.

Will "Shutdown Resistance in Reasoning Models" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?

Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

Bu piyasayı kodda veya bir yapay zeka ajanında kullanın

Bu piyasa için ücretsiz JSON, API anahtarı gerekmez:

Yapay zeka ajanları: CoinRithm MCP sunucusunda pm_data_event aracını çağırın:

KALSHI

DeepSeek market share this week

• Above 22.7%97.5%
• Above 23.8%96.5%
• Above 24.6%90.5%

+6 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim

₺9,6 Mn

24s Hacim

₺9,6 Mn

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+4.6pt52.2%
• Gemini-0.4pt37.5%
• ChatGPT-1.6pt

KALSHI

Best AI this week

• Gemini87.5%
• Claude12%
• MUSE1.5%

POLYMARKET

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?

• December 31-0.8pt97%
• October 31-1.4pt81%
• October 2260%

+11 daha fazla sonuç

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+3.2pt74.8%
• Anthropic-2.0pt24.2%
• OpenAI-0.2pt1%

+18 daha fazla sonuç

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T24.8%
• $2.0–$2.25T-0.7pt20%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.1pt16.2%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• OpenAI market share this week
• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• Anthropic share of spend on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel)
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
• Anthropic market share this week
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?