Will "Schelling Goodness, and Shared Morality as a Goal" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will "Let goodness conquer all that it can defend" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill "Announcing the Corrigibility Research Fund" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill "An OpenAI model left notes about how to evade..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
KalshiKurallar
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Schelling Goodness, and Shared Morality as a Goal is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Açık piyasalar
Society & CultureKALSHIWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
- Iran (3+ times)99%
- Renoir99%
- Pardon99%
+13 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,2 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-1.5pt45%
- 65-89+3.0pt28%
- <40-5.0pt15%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No96%
- Yes-76.0pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺474,8 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺418,6 B
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺865,2 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺53,7 B
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
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- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will "Schelling Goodness, and Shared Morality as a Goal" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 86% fiyatlıyor.
- Will "Schelling Goodness, and Shared Morality as a Goal" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will "Schelling Goodness, and Shared Morality as a Goal" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Şubat 2028.
- Will "Schelling Goodness, and Shared Morality as a Goal" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.