Will Sam Bankman-Fried successfully appeal any of his convictions or sentence?
PolitikaOne-OffSuç ve AdaletKriptoSeçimRegülasyon5gManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 97%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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15 dakika önce güncellendi
4 Kas 23 22:31 UTC1 Kas 26 07:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
Resolves YES if any of his 7 convictions are overturned or he asks for and gets a resentencing.
- Resolves NO when his direct appeal is over or his time to appeal has lapsed, e.g. cert denied at SCOTUS.
- Update 2026-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A presidential pardon does not count as a successful appeal and would resolve the market NO.
