Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreVeri kalitesi uyarısıKaynak verileri bozulmuş
25 Eki 2026 20:15 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
Güncel topluluk tahminiHayır 83%
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46
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Piyasa verileri
8 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis11 May 25 00:09 UTC1 Oca 30 23:59 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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PolymarketKurallar
i will resolve this market according to my subjective opinion. i will try to consider and understand the opinions of people commenting on this market.
- i will not trade on this market.
- if any of the conditions below apply for >=7 days before 2030, the market resolves "yes".
- if russia occupies kyiv or control it militarily for >=7 days this market resolves "yes".
- if ukraine gov seems very pro russia to me in or before 2030, i will then resolve to "yes".
- Update 2025-05-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the condition "if russia occupies kyiv or control it militarily for >=7 days this market resolves 'yes'", the >=7 days must be consecutive.