Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 83%
Tahminciler
46
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis11 May 25 00:09 UTC1 Oca 30 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Russia occupy Dnipro ( Dnepropetrovs'k ) at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Turkey and/or Northern Cyprus occupy the Republic of Cyprus before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel occupy at least 5% of Syrian territory by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia target Kyiv on?
PolymarketWill any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by which date?
PolymarketRussia to take Kyiv by force in 2026?
FutuurKurallar
i will resolve this market according to my subjective opinion. i will try to consider and understand the opinions of people commenting on this market.
- i will not trade on this market.
- if any of the conditions below apply for >=7 days before 2030, the market resolves "yes".
- if russia occupies kyiv or control it militarily for >=7 days this market resolves "yes".
- if ukraine gov seems very pro russia to me in or before 2030, i will then resolve to "yes".
- Update 2025-05-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the condition "if russia occupies kyiv or control it militarily for >=7 days this market resolves 'yes'", the >=7 days must be consecutive.
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+6.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.6pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺23,9 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt48.3%
- October 31-1.0pt29.2%
- September 30-2.0pt11.7%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+2.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+10.0pt70%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,3 Mn
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA+0.2pt8%
- International Court of Justice+0.8pt6%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will russia occupy kyiv at any point before 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 83% fiyatlıyor.
- Will russia occupy kyiv at any point before 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will russia occupy kyiv at any point before 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2030.
- Will russia occupy kyiv at any point before 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: i will resolve this market according to my subjective opinion. i will try to consider and understand the opinions of people commenting on this market.