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30 Eki 2026 03:10 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
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Guncelligini yitirmis18 Şub 22 20:14 UTC1 Oca 29 05:00 UTC
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Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?
Manifold MarketsBefore 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?
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Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will I use a chatbot that can win >25% of Turing test games (defined within) where I am the judge?
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PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiKurallar
This question is a duplicate of another question (https://manifold.markets/dreev/will-ai-pass-the-turing-test-by-202) scheduled to close later.
- It is based on a bet between Ray Kurzweil and Mitchell Kapor, found here: https://longbets.org/1/
- This question will only resolve YES if the Long Now Foundation announces that Ray Kurzweil won the bet.
- It will resolve to NO if Mitchell Kapor is announced the winner instead.
- Each Turing Test Session will consist of at least three Turing Test Trials.
- For each such Turing Test Trial, a set of Turing Test Interviews will take place, followed by voting by the Turing Test Judges as described below.