Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 91.1%
Tahminciler
11
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
3 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis14 Mar 26 21:10 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
What is the next country to leave European Union:?
Manifold MarketsWill Hungary leave the European Union by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Italy be a member state of the European Union by the start of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the European Union (EU) block X (Twitter) in 2026?
FutuurWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Poland officially completes its withdrawal from the European Union (per Article 50 of the TEU) before January 1, 2030.
- Resolution requires either a ratified withdrawal agreement or the expiration of the two-year notification period.
- The market resolves to NO if Poland remains a member state through December 31, 2029.
- Market Background: The 2026 Crisis
- While the 2023 elections brought a pro-EU coalition to power under Donald Tusk, the political landscape shifted dramatically following the June 2025 Presidential Election.
Açık piyasalar
Politics
KALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+82.9pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.9pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.2pt0%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺49,1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺38,8 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.4pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,4 Mr
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-4.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.7pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.5pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.6pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Poland leave European Union before 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 91% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Poland leave European Union before 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Poland leave European Union before 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2029.
- Will Poland leave European Union before 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution Criteria