Will Plesetsk cosmodrome got hit with drone/missile by the end of 2026?
JeopolitikOne-OffSpaceRussia / Ukraine3ayManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 70.5%
Tahminciler
2
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis24 Ağu 26 06:23 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will a NATO aircraft shoot down a missile or drone fired towards a target in Ukraine before 2027?
Manifold MarketsUkraine damages Kremlin with drone or missile before Russia-Ukraine war ends?
Manifold MarketsWill the Ukrainians get the German Taurus cruise missile before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?
PolymarketNumber of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026?
PolymarketNATO downs another Russian drone by which date?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, between August 24, 2026, and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, the Plesetsk Cosmodrome is confirmed to have been hit by at least one drone, unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV), or missile.
- Definition of "Hit": A drone or missile must successfully strike, explode on, or cause physical damage to any structure, launch pad, runway, or ground area within the official perimeter of the Plesetsk Cosmodrome (located in Mirny, Arkhangelsk Oblast, Russia).
- Interceptions & Debris: If an incoming drone or missile is intercepted by air defenses and the falling debris causes no material damage or fires inside the cosmodrome, it does not count as a "hit." If falling debris from an interception causes verified physical damage or a fire to cosmodrome infrastructure, this will qualify as a "hit."
- Verification Sources: Resolution will be based on credible, publicly available evidence.
- This includes official statements from the Russian Ministry of Defense, Ukrainian military officials, or independent analyses from reputable organizations (such as the Institute for the Study of War) alongside verified satellite imagery (e.g., Maxar, Planet Labs).
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+6.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.6pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺23,9 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt48.3%
- October 31-1.0pt29.2%
- September 30-2.0pt11.7%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+2.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+10.0pt70%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,3 Mn
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA+0.2pt8%
- International Court of Justice+0.8pt6%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Plesetsk cosmodrome got hit with drone/missile by the end of 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 71% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Plesetsk cosmodrome got hit with drone/missile by the end of 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Plesetsk cosmodrome got hit with drone/missile by the end of 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will Plesetsk cosmodrome got hit with drone/missile by the end of 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria