Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiNot before 31 December 2030 80.3%6 seçenek arasında lider
Tahminciler
14
Soru türü
multiple choice
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
Piyasa verileri
12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis21 Ara 25 05:14 UTC21 Ara 30 05:12 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
KalshiPete Hegseth impeached by which date?
PolymarketPete Hegseth departure announced?
KalshiPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
PolymarketWill the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on whether Pete Hegseth is convicted and imprisoned for any crime by December 31, 2030.
- The specific year of imprisonment determines which answer resolves yes.
- If Hegseth is imprisoned in multiple years, the market resolves to the earliest year.
- The market resolves to "the named outcome" if no imprisonment occurs by that date.
- Resolution will be determined by official court records and credible news reporting of a conviction and subsequent incarceration.