Güncel topluluk tahmini
Evet 72.8%
Tahminciler
2
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
12 Eyl 26 20:12 UTC31 Ara 27 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will AI progress slow down before July 2027 due to an agreement to 'pace the frontier'?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by which date?
PolymarketTwo+ of OpenAI, Anthropic, or DeepMind adopt new MonitorBench for monitor-aware evasion by '27?
Manifold MarketsAny American frontier AI lab (e.g. OpenAI, Anthropic) nationalized by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google acquire or take a controlling stake in a broker-dealer by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolves yes if either company takes actions that clearly and intentionally slow down frontier model capability improvement.
- Both Dario and Sam Altman have stated they think this is a good idea.
