Will OpenAI or Anthropic file for bankruptcy before September 30, 2027?
Şirket İşlemleriOne-OffYZ11ay
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 93.8%
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2
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binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
17 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis13 Eyl 26 12:42 UTC30 Eyl 27 23:59 UTC
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Kurallar
Resolves YES if either OpenAI or Anthropic files for bankruptcy (Chapter 7 or Chapter 11 in the US, or an equivalent insolvency proceeding elsewhere) before September 30, 2027.
- Fire sales, acquisitions, restructurings, or down rounds that do not involve a formal insolvency filing resolve NO.
- The entity means the main company and its principal operating subsidiaries as of September 2026.
- Context: a friend claimed on September 13, 2026 that absent regulatory capture, OpenAI or Anthropic will go bankrupt within a year.
- I don't buy it.
- Making the market so we can bet on it.
