Güncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 59%
Tahminciler
8
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli21 Ara 25 12:36 UTC31 Ara 30 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
By when will New Glenn first launch with 9 engines?
Manifold MarketsBy when will New Glenn next launch?
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PolymarketBy when will New Glenn 5 launch?
Manifold MarketsHow many times will New Glenn launch in 2027?
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PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if New Glenn completes more orbital launches than Falcon 9 during the calendar year 2030.
- The count includes all orbital-class launches by each rocket, regardless of mission type or outcome (successful or failed launches both count).
- Considerations
- New Glenn is a newly operational rocket with only two flights as of December 2025, while Falcon 9 is a mature vehicle with an established high launch cadence.
- SpaceX's Falcon 9 growth may be reaching an end as it transitions launches to Starship, with 2025 and 2026 anticipated to be the highest Falcon launch rates.
