Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 73.7%
Tahminciler
4
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
8 dakika önce güncellendi
18 Mar 26 22:43 UTC2 Oca 32 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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KalshiWhen will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
KalshiKurallar
This market resolves YES iff the human brain preservation company Nectome (https://nectome.com/) still exists and is taking new patients at the start of 2032.
- If Nectome still technically exists, but is not able to preserve new patients (perhaps because they are not legally able to do so, or are purely devoted at that point to protecting the patients they've already preserved).
- If Nectome clearly falls apart, I'll resolve NO early, but I will err on the side of waiting to resolve if things are dicey.
- If a company offering human preservation via aldehyde fixation that is clearly descended from Nectome in terms of staff/technology AND that company accepts Nectome prepurchases made in 2026, this can resolve YES even if that company is not named Nectome and/or is technically a distinct legal entity.
