Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 60.2%
Tahminciler
5
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
15 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis15 Nis 26 18:07 UTC31 Ara 26 19:06 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will my friend S successfully run a market on manifold?
Manifold MarketsWill my friend deid91 have success on Twitch by 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many times will my friend and I die in Outward?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if M explicitly states, either verbally or in writing, that he accepts the assertion that he does not annoy me.
- It will resolve to "No" if M explicitly rejects, disagrees with, or denies the assertion that he does not annoy me.
- Because this is a subjective interpersonal matter, the resolution depends on my assessment of the conversation.
- If no such conversation takes place or if M's response remains ambiguous, the market may resolve to "N/A" or be decided based on my best judgment of the interaction.
- This market concerns a personal interpersonal dynamic regarding whether a friend, M, acknowledges or accepts a specific boundary or sentiment regarding his behavior.
Açık piyasalar
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-8.5pt44.4%
- 65-89-12.5pt28.3%
- <40-18.5pt14.1%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺1,6 Mn
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No62%
- Yes-52.0pt38%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺227,9 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺173,3 B
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes+4.0pt18%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺58,3 B
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺864,9 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺53,6 B
KALSHIHarry Kane Knighted in 2026
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺853,9 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺14,8 B
KALSHIUS test scores in Math in 2026?
- No significant difference+8.0pt39%
- Significant decrease-7.0pt34%
- Significant increase-15.4pt10%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺2,8 Mn
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $53,000 in 2026?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will my friend M accept that he doesn´t annoy me? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 60% fiyatlıyor.
- Will my friend M accept that he doesn´t annoy me? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will my friend M accept that he doesn´t annoy me? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will my friend M accept that he doesn´t annoy me? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria