Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 69.9%
Tahminciler
11
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
4 dakika önce güncellendi
5 Nis 24 14:16 UTC1 Oca 30 05:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Is the answer to the Sleeping Beauty Problem 1/3?
Manifold MarketsIs the answer to the Sleeping Beauty Problem 1/2?
Manifold MarketsWill any of my current or future "WEIRD doomsday" markets resolve to YES by 2030?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiKurallar
The linked market is set up to extend its closing until consensus is reached in Martin's opinion.
- This market will resolve when 2029 ends.
- Why this market? In my opinion the linked market is quite probably way off.
- If the linked market is likely to resolve, it is worth tracking the market and betting my belief.
- If it "never" will, the market can stay wrong indefinitely, and my expected value is hard to decide.
- Therefore this market, which is more decidable.
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will @martinrandall sleeping beauty market resolve before 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 70% fiyatlıyor.
- Will @martinrandall sleeping beauty market resolve before 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will @martinrandall sleeping beauty market resolve before 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2030.
- Will @martinrandall sleeping beauty market resolve before 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: The linked market is set up to extend its closing until consensus is reached in Martin's opinion.
