Will Katalin Karikó Win a Nobel Prize in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?

Manifold Markets, 22 Ekim 2026 itibarıyla No için 99% fiyatlıyor.

Will Katalin Karikó Win a Nobel Prize in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?

Will Katalin Karikó Win a Nobel Prize in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Hayır 99%

Tahminciler

Soru türü

binary

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

1 saat önce güncellendi

Gecikmeli

31 Ağu 23 18:39 UTC31 Ara 26 22:59 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

Kurallar

Katalin Karikó (see Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Katalin_Karik%C3%B3) pioneered the science behind mRNA vaccines.

She has many of the major awards that normally preceed a Nobel Prize (Japan Prize, Lasker, &c), but has not yet won a Nobel Prize.
Resolves YES if she wins any Prize in 2026 even if shared.
This market will resolve once all the science prizes are announced (or earlier if she announced as a winner), which should be the case by mid October 2026.
Note that this market is for 2026 specifically, if she wins before, that will not count towards this market! A potential earlier win will also not immediately resolve NO because there is a chance she will be awarded a Prize in multiple years.