Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 93.8%
Tahminciler
44
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
13 dakika önce güncellendi
7 Şub 24 23:12 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Donald Trump be alive on 31 December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Benjamin Netanyahu be alive on December 31 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be alive by 31 December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Tyler Robinson be alive on December 31st, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?
KalshiPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketKurallar
This market seeks to predict the survival of Joe Biden, the 46th President of the United States, up until the end of 31 December 2026.
- Given the natural concerns around the health and wellbeing of public figures, especially those of significant political stature and advanced age, this question is of public interest.
- Participants are encouraged to consider various factors that could influence the outcome, including but not limited to Biden's health records, actuarial life expectancy data for men in his age group, the stress associated with holding and having held high office, and any public information regarding his health and lifestyle.
- It is important to approach this market with sensitivity and respect for the subject and all individuals involved.
- Speculation should be grounded in publicly available information and presented in a manner that maintains the dignity of the individuals discussed.
- This market does not endorse or encourage speculation that is invasive or disrespectful.