Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 95%
Tahminciler
59
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
13 dakika önce güncellendi
7 Şub 24 23:14 UTC31 Ara 26 23:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
On which days in 2026 will Donald Trump be alive?
Manifold MarketsOn which days in 2027+ will Donald Trump be alive?
Manifold MarketsWill Benjamin Netanyahu be alive on December 31 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
KalshiWill Donald Trump issue a public apology?
KalshiWill Donald Trump attend UFC 332?
KalshiKurallar
This market aims to assess the likelihood of Donald Trump, the 45th President of the United States, being alive at the close of 31 December 2026.
- The health and longevity of former presidents are subjects of significant public interest, particularly given their roles in shaping national and global policy.
- Factors for consideration in this market include publicly known details about Trump's health, lifestyle habits, age-related risks, and any statistical life expectancy data pertinent to his demographic profile.
- Participants are urged to approach their analysis and contributions with the utmost respect and decorum.
- Speculative discussions should rely on information that is publicly accessible and should be framed respectfully, avoiding invasive or derogatory commentary.
- The resolution of this market will hinge on verifiable, public evidence concerning Donald Trump's life status as of the specified date.
Açık piyasalar
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.5pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,3 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M-0.8pt96%
- $25M-1.0pt94%
- $50M-4.0pt87%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.4pt47.8%
- October 31-1.0pt29.6%
- September 30-4.0pt12.2%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84%
- Republican Party-1.0pt16%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺16,1 Mn
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.5%
- Marco Rubio20.8%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt4%
+35 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15,1 Mn
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- IA-01 House winner?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Donald Trump be alive on 31 December 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 95% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Donald Trump be alive on 31 December 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Donald Trump be alive on 31 December 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2026.
- Will Donald Trump be alive on 31 December 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: This market aims to assess the likelihood of Donald Trump, the 45th President of the United States, being alive at the close of 31 December 2026.