Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 98.4%
Tahminciler
25
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
12 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis29 Ağu 23 08:23 UTC1 Oca 30 07:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
PolymarketWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf the US confirms aliens exist, will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Jesus Christ return before 2027
Manifold MarketsWho will the next Pope be?
KalshiWhat countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiKurallar
Resolves YES if, before the start of 2030 (pacific time), the pope confirms that Jesus has returned.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- May resolve N/A if there is no pope and, in my judgement, if there were a pope he might confirm that Jesus has returned.
- Market idea from https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/mantic-monday-82823/comment/39215917
- [link preview]Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The Pope's confirmation must specifically refer to the Second Coming of Christ for the market to resolve YES.
- If the Pope confirms the Second Coming of Christ has occurred, this would resolve YES.
Açık piyasalar
ReligionPOLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,2 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺748,2 B
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No95%
- Yes-20.0pt5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺271,5 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺215,8 B
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Pietro Parolin5%
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺6,6 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺3,6 B
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No-2.0pt87.1%
- Yes+2.0pt12.9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺45 B
- 24s Hacim
- —
POLYMARKETVatican III in 2026?
- No-0.1pt91%
- Yes+0.1pt9%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺500
- 24s Hacim
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSCatholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
- No85.7%
- Yes14.3%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺44,7 B
- 24s Hacim
- —
- Restrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
- Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
- Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
- Will there be a trend spike for the term "Animism" before 2035?
- Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2028
- Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status
- Will Joe Rogan convert to Islam by the end of 2030?
- Will Jesus Christ return in 2026?
- Will Pope Leo XIV attend a professional sports game in the USA?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Jesus Christ return by 2030 (according to the pope)? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 98% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Jesus Christ return by 2030 (according to the pope)? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Jesus Christ return by 2030 (according to the pope)? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2030.
- Will Jesus Christ return by 2030 (according to the pope)? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves YES if, before the start of 2030 (pacific time), the pope confirms that Jesus has returned.