Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 88.5%
Tahminciler
10
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
1 saat önce güncellendi
Gecikmeli28 Mar 24 07:38 UTC29 Mar 54 03:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Jeff Bezos spend a week in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Jeff Bezos spend a day in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Jeff Bezos spend a year in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk spend a month in outer space?
Manifold MarketsWill Jeff Bezos go to space before 2028?
PolymarketWill the US exit the Outer Space Treaty?
KalshiKurallar
The close date is arbitrary; either I or a moderator will extend the close date as needed until either of the criteria have been met.
- If Jeff Bezos spends at least 31 days consecutively above the Karmen Line (100 km altitude), then this market resolves YES.
- If he dies before this happens, this market resolves NO.
- For purposes of this market, “Jeff Bezos” is only Jeffrey Preston Bezos, founder of Amazon.com, born on January 12, 1964.
- I will not bet in this market.
- Related markets: @/jks/will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-day-in-oute @/jks/will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-week-in-out @/jks/will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-month-in-ou (this market) @/jks/will-jeff-bezos-spend-a-year-in-out