Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 88.9%
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30
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
10 dakika önce güncellendi
21 May 25 18:50 UTC16 Eyl 26 18:44 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will If Anyone Builds It appear in a NYT bestseller list again?
Manifold MarketsHow many hours will I study in September? (10 mana bonus, read description)
Manifold MarketsWhat will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
KalshiWhat will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
PolymarketWho will win the 2026 United States Senate special election in Ohio (to fill JD Vance's seat)?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolves YES if by a year after the current release date (Sep 16, 2026), JD Vance has mentioned reading (even part of) the new book "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies."
- Also resolves YES if some event occurs that strongly implies that he has read it (he has a meeting with the author, or a copy of the book is photographed on his desk with a bookmark, or Usha Vance says he has read it, or whatever).
- That is to say, it doesn't have to be an official declaration from his mouth.
- This market inspired by his recent remarks in an interview with the NYTimes that he had read AI-2027.
- https://www.nytimes.com/2025/05/21/opinion/jd-vance-pope-trump-immigration.html
- Here is book information: https://ifanyonebuildsit.com/?ref=nsxmay
Açık piyasalar
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.5pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,3 Mn
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M-0.8pt96%
- $25M-1.0pt94%
- $50M-4.0pt87%
+4 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.4pt47.8%
- October 31-1.0pt29.6%
- September 30-4.0pt12.2%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84%
- Republican Party-1.0pt16%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺16,1 Mn
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.5%
- Marco Rubio20.8%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt4%
+35 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺3,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺15,1 Mn
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- New Hampshire Republican Senate nominee?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- IA-01 House winner?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will JD Vance read "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies"? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 9 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 89% fiyatlıyor.
- Will JD Vance read "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies"? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will JD Vance read "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies"? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 16 Eylül 2026.
- Will JD Vance read "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies"? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves YES if by a year after the current release date (Sep 16, 2026), JD Vance has mentioned reading (even part of) the new book "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies."