Will JD Vance integrate rationalist bloggers into significant D.C. influence by 2028?
One-OffABD SiyasetiPolitikaYZ1y
Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahmini
Hayır 68.7%3 seçenek arasında lider
Hayır 68.7%Tahminciler
25
Soru türü
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
7g Değişim
0.0 pts
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7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis9 Kas 24 15:37 UTC17 Oca 28 06:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market assesses the likelihood that JD Vance will play a meaningful role in helping individuals associated with rationalist blogging, 𝕏, or similar intellectual communities attain formal influence within high levels of U.S. government or policy-making circles by 2028.
- Terms for the Market
- Notable Integration:
- Integration requires rationalist bloggers to gain substantial influence in official roles, formal advisory capacities, or have recognized policy impact facilitated by JD Vance’s direct involvement or endorsement.
- Casual acknowledgments or public discussions do not meet this threshold.
- Qualifying Political Figure:
