Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 53%
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Guncelligini yitirmis1 Ağu 26 16:22 UTC2 Haz 28 03:59 UTC
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will JD Vance be the presidential nominee in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurWhen will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Manifold MarketsDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurKurallar
Currently, Donald Trump is considered to be most likely to be the Republican nominee for president.
- Will his vice president be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028? Being vice president is often seen as a stepping stone for becoming president (for example, Bush after Reagan and Biden after Obama).
- In addition, if the president dies, they become the new incumbent.
- On the other hand, Pence was Trump's vice president during his first term, and that seems to have hurt his chances in the 2024 race.
- If Trump does not have a vice presidential pick (for example, if he does not win the nomination), this resolves N/A. If he has multiple vice presidents for any reason, the one that is inaugurated at the same time with him in 2025 will be the one that this market refers to.
- If he runs as a non-Republican, this market will refer to whatever party he ran as.
Açık piyasalar
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34,1 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺39,1 Mn
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.8pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺34 Mr
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.2pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt14.1%
+45 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺10,3 Mr
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 daha fazla sonuç
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will JD Vance be the presidential nominee in 2028? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 53% fiyatlıyor.
- Will JD Vance be the presidential nominee in 2028? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will JD Vance be the presidential nominee in 2028? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 2 Haziran 2028.
- Will JD Vance be the presidential nominee in 2028? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Currently, Donald Trump is considered to be most likely to be the Republican nominee for president.