KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekliDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiİyi kalibreSeçili emir defteri orta fiyatı
Before Oct 1, 2027 · —
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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Kayıtlı fiyat
Before Oct 1, 2027 66%5 seçenek arasında lider
Before Oct 1, 2027 66%Piyasa kalitesi
48 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
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Açık pozisyon
$2,6 B
Orta açık pozisyonAlış / Satış
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Before Oct 1, 2027Spread
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Piyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
7 Nis 26 14:00 UTC1 Oca 27 15:00 UTC
Grafik ve değişimler, seçili canlı emir defterini değil kayıtlı geçmiş olasılıkları gösterir.
Trendler
Seçili satır: emir defteri orta fiyatı. Diğer satırlar: normalleştirilmiş olabilen kayıtlı referanslar; 24 saatlik değişimler kayıtlı geçmişi kullanır.
İşlem platformu koşulları
Kaynak: Kalshi
Bu koşullar yalnızca bilgi amaçlıdır; CoinRithm deneme işlemlerinde kendi kurallarını uygular.
- Erken kapanış:
- Evet
- Sonuçlandırma süresi:
- 30m (bilgi amaçlı)
Piyasa derinliği · Before Oct 1, 2027
Seçili emir defteri yükleniyor…
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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
When will Marco Rubio announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWhen will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWhen will Jon Ossoff announce his presidential candidacy?
KalshiWhen will AOC announce her presidential candidacy?
KalshiWill JD Vance be the presidential nominee in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be the presidential nominee in 2028?
Manifold MarketsKurallar
If JD Vance has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPoliticoBloomberg NewsNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
Her sonucun kuralı
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If JD Vance has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Oct 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If JD Vance has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If JD Vance has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Apr 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Feb 1, 2027
- If JD Vance has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Feb 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If JD Vance has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
