Will it become public that Monero has been compromised currently before 2030?
One-OffKriptoRegülasyon3yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 76.3%
Tahminciler
17
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
7 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis27 Haz 25 01:42 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsKurallar
This market resolves YES if credible evidence is made public before January 1, 2030, that the Monero protocol or its cryptographic primitives are compromised as of this market being created.
- The nature of the compromise must meaningfully affect Monero's privacy or fungibility guarantees - such as a backdoor in its ring signatures, zero-knowledge proofs, or stealth addressing mechanisms enabling de-anonymization or tracing of transactions.
- Evidence must be reported by a credible cryptographic researcher, cybersecurity firm, leaked government document, or whistleblower, and receive significant coverage from reputable sources (academic publications, major legacy news outlets, or promonant cryptography blogs).
- Purely theoretical attacks / unfounded speculation do not count.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
