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24 Tem 2026 15:10 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-3
Güncel topluluk tahminiOil blockade, regime stays 90.5%+1.9pt4 seçenek arasında lider
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19
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
3 gün önce guncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis29 Mar 26 14:5531 Ara 26 23:59
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Yalnızca sanal bakiye, gerçek para yokYatırım tavsiyesi değildir
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Oil blockade, regime changes7%
Hacim trendi
$2023 Tem2g veri24 Tem
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Resolution Criteria:
- Oil blockade:
- Defined as a significant disruption in Iranian oil exports compared to pre-blockade.
- Must be effectively imposed, confirmed by either an official U.S. announcement, or by at least two independent major outlets.
- Any of these will count: naval blockade, tanker quarentine or a seizure of Kharg Island, so long as it causes an impact similar to what we saw in Venezuela on quantifiable information (tanker count or export volume in pre blockade vs post blockade week, month or bimester.
- Half order of magnitude basis.