Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 73.5%
Tahminciler
75
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
16 dakika önce güncellendi
23 Haz 25 03:29 UTC31 Ara 29 23:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will China sink a US aircraft carrier before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the Trump Class Battleship be built or will the US Navy determine it is wasteful and unnecessary for modern warfare
Manifold MarketsWill the Chinese aircraft carrier Liaoning sink before 2033
Manifold MarketsUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketKurallar
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before January 1, 2030, there is credible reporting from reputable news organizations confirming that Iran has successfully sunk a U.S. Navy ship with a displacement of more than 2000 tons.
- The term "sunk" is defined as causing a U.S. Navy vessel to become submerged and inoperable due to hostile actions attributed to Iran.
- This includes submarines that are sunk.
- If no such incident is reported by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."
- Iran has developed a range of naval capabilities aimed at countering U.S. naval presence in the Persian Gulf and surrounding waters.
Açık piyasalar
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+2.0pt76%
- September 18+3.0pt72%
- September 11+6.0pt66%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺89,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺31,7 Mn
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+0.5pt75%
- New People (NL)-0.8pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.2pt3%
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+4.0pt84.2%
- Yes-4.0pt15.8%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺542,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺14,5 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt50.4%
- October 31-1.0pt28.7%
- September 30-1.0pt12.2%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-5.0pt29%
- Before Jan 1, 202826%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt10%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺391,8 Mn
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Iran sink a US Navy ship before 2030? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 10 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 74% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Iran sink a US Navy ship before 2030? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Iran sink a US Navy ship before 2030? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 31 Aralık 2029.
- Will Iran sink a US Navy ship before 2030? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolution criteria