Will Iran get a nuclear weapon before the Islamic Republic falls?
JeopolitikOne-OffOrta DoğuRusya / UkraynaÇin
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25 Eki 2026 20:40 UTC itibarıyla veriler · politika pm-quality-4
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KalshiKurallar
Resolves YES if the Islamic Republic of Iran obtains a nuclear weapon before it collapses, according to reliable media outlets.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- I will not bet on this market.
- Update 2025-02-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Weapon Resolution Clarification:
- Dirty bomb does not count as a nuclear weapon.
- Refer to the linked example for further context: Metaculus page
