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İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Iran become a democracy in 2026?
KalshiWill China, Iran, Saudi Arabia, or Russia become a democracy first?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketWill a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
PolymarketKurallar
Criteria for Resolution:
- Democracy Definition: Iran must undergo significant political changes resulting in a form of government characterized by free and fair elections, protection of civil liberties, political pluralism, and the rule of law.
- Verification of Democratic Status:
- - Free and Fair Elections: Iran must hold national elections that are widely recognized as free and fair by reputable international organizations, such as the United Nations, the European Union, or credible NGOs like Freedom House or the Carter Center.
- - Civil Liberties: There must be substantial evidence of the protection of civil liberties, including freedom of speech, press, assembly, and religion, as reported by reputable human rights organizations.
- - Political Pluralism: Multiple political parties must be able to operate without undue restriction, and opposition parties must have a genuine chance to compete for power.
Açık piyasalar
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 54% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2041.
- Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Criteria for Resolution: