KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 97%
Piyasa kalitesi
≤49 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺5,1 Mn
Yüksek likiditeAlış / Satış
4.0% / 4.1%
Spread
0.1 pt
Dar spreadPiyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
1 Mar 26 15:00 UTC1 Mar 27 14:59 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketKurallar
If Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index is at least 6.00 as published in the EIU Democracy Index 2026 report, then the market resolves to Yes.
Uzlaşma kaynağı:The Economist
Açık piyasalar
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+16.4pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺1,4 Mr
- 24s Hacim
- ₺40,6 Mn
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.1%
- October 31-1.0pt28.5%
- September 30-1.0pt13%
+17 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 daha fazla sonuç
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.2pt98%
- Yes-0.2pt2%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺386,3 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺5,5 Mn
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029-2.0pt69%
- Before Jul 1, 2028-1.0pt67%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+3.0pt64%
+11 daha fazla sonuç
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Netanyahu out by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will Iran become a democracy in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 97% fiyatlıyor.
- Will Iran become a democracy in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will Iran become a democracy in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Mart 2027.
- Will Iran become a democracy in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index is at least 6.00 as published in the EIU Democracy Index 2026 report, then the market resolves to Yes.