Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiEvet 51.9%
Tahminciler
26
Soru türü
binary
Yöntem
Play-money forecasting platform
Kaynak türü
Tahmin
Piyasa verileri
15 saat önce güncellendi
Guncelligini yitirmis8 Ara 25 10:33 UTC8 Ara 33 10:30 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
Will an active Manifold user be indicted for murder before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill an active Manifold user be indicted for selling military secrets to another country before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsMost profitable Manifold user at end of 2026
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
KalshiKurallar
Resolves YES if I personally resolve this market within 72 hours of its scheduled close date(08.12.2033), indicating that I was still an active Manifold user at the time.
- Resolves NO if:
- I do not resolve the market within 72 hours after close, or
- A moderator or anyone else ends up resolving it on my behalf (which would imply I was inactive).
- I will only bet YES on this market.
Açık piyasalar
Society & CultureKALSHIWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
- Iran (3+ times)99%
- Renoir99%
- Pardon99%
+13 daha fazla sonuç
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺4,2 Mn
- 24s Hacim
- ₺4,2 Mn
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-1.5pt45%
- 65-89+3.0pt28%
- <40-5.0pt15%
+7 daha fazla sonuç
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No96%
- Yes-76.0pt4%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺474,8 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺418,6 B
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺865,2 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺53,7 B
FORECASTEXWill Massachusetts Institute of Technology rank first overall in 2027?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
FORECASTEXWill Princeton University rank first overall in 2027?
- Yes85%
- No15%
- Toplam Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
- 24s Hacim
- ₺29,1 B
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- US test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Sık sorulan sorular
- Will I still be an active Manifold user in 8 years (08.12.2033) ? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla Yes için 52% fiyatlıyor.
- Will I still be an active Manifold user in 8 years (08.12.2033) ? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will I still be an active Manifold user in 8 years (08.12.2033) ? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 8 Aralık 2033.
- Will I still be an active Manifold user in 8 years (08.12.2033) ? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: Resolves YES if I personally resolve this market within 72 hours of its scheduled close date(08.12.2033), indicating that I was still an active Manifold user at the time.