Will I lose another character in my PbP RPG server before anyone else loses a character?

One-OffEğlence3ay

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Hayır 70.4%

Tahminciler

Soru türü

binary

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

13 saat önce güncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

1 Tem 24 04:51 UTC1 Oca 27 05:59 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

İlgili Piyasalar

Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.

Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026?

Kalshi

Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?

Polymarket

Will anyone else mentioned in the Epstein files face RELATED criminal charges before the end of Trump’s second term?

Manifold Markets

High Class or Low Class? - Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "High Class" in 2026? (add answers)

Manifold Markets

Which POV character will have the most chapters in "The Winds of Winter" by George R.R. Martin?

Manifold Markets

Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?

Polymarket

Kurallar

I've been playing in a PbP RPG campaign for just over a year now.

In that time we've played B/X, SWN, and now (for a while) 4e D&D. In that time, I have lost a character in the B/X game (unlucky ambush roll + lvl 1 character = instant death), and then just recently I lost my character in the 4e campaign as he held off an encounter we shouldn't have attempted to fight in the first place while the rest of the party got away.
No one else has lost any characters in the time I've been playing in this server.
Will I complete the hat trick before anyone else loses a character? (and to clarify, by "lose" I mean the character dies or is in some other way permanently taken out of action - not that we switch systems or I get bored with a character or anything like that)
Some details: * I am playing a Defender class with the new character (swordmage), so it is generally my character's job to take the hits for the party
* That said, my new character is dispositionally a bit less heroic and self-sacrificing than the last one (wandering scholar vs noble paladin), so she's less likely to do that sort of doomed retreat thing than the last one

Açık piyasalar

Entertainment

KALSHI

Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score

Above 5099%
Above 5599%
Above 60+2.0pt99%

+10 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim: ₺10,1 Mn
24s Hacim: ₺5,1 Mn

POLYMARKET

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?

950 - 960m+6.5pt73.3%
940 - 950m-5.5pt22.8%
970m++0.6pt2%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

KALSHI

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

Jack Lowden+15.0pt57%
Jack Barton-13.0pt21%
Callum Turner-10.0pt16%

+27 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim: ₺102,2 Mn

POLYMARKET

Next James Bond actor?

Jack Lowden+29.4pt51.4%
No Bond chosen-3.9pt18.1%
Jack Barton-4.5pt7.6%

+21 daha fazla sonuç

KALSHI

Practical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score

Above 45-58.0pt16%
Above 50-61.0pt4%
Above 55-51.0pt2%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim: ₺4,6 Mn

KALSHI

Oscar Winner: Best Picture

The Odyssey-3.0pt39.2%
Dune: Part Three-1.0pt9.6%
The Black Ball-1.0pt8.8%

+35 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim: ₺238,3 Mn

Sık sorulan sorular

Will I lose another character in my PbP RPG server before anyone else loses a character? için güncel oranlar nedir?: Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 70% fiyatlıyor.
Will I lose another character in my PbP RPG server before anyone else loses a character? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?: Will I lose another character in my PbP RPG server before anyone else loses a character? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
Will I lose another character in my PbP RPG server before anyone else loses a character? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?: Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: I've been playing in a PbP RPG campaign for just over a year now.

Bu piyasayla ilgili veri sorunu bildir

Will I lose another character in my PbP RPG server before anyone else loses a character?

One-OffEğlence3ay

Manifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibre

Güncel topluluk tahmini

Hayır 70.4%

Tahminciler

Soru türü

binary

Yöntem

Play-money forecasting platform

Kaynak türü

Tahmin

Piyasa verileri

13 saat önce güncellendi

Guncelligini yitirmis

1 Tem 24 04:51 UTC1 Oca 27 05:59 UTC

Trendler

Sonuç24sOlasılık

İlgili Piyasalar

Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.

Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026?

Kalshi

Will the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?

Polymarket

Will anyone else mentioned in the Epstein files face RELATED criminal charges before the end of Trump’s second term?

Manifold Markets

High Class or Low Class? - Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "High Class" in 2026? (add answers)

Manifold Markets

Which POV character will have the most chapters in "The Winds of Winter" by George R.R. Martin?

Manifold Markets

Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?

Polymarket

Kurallar

I've been playing in a PbP RPG campaign for just over a year now.

In that time we've played B/X, SWN, and now (for a while) 4e D&D. In that time, I have lost a character in the B/X game (unlucky ambush roll + lvl 1 character = instant death), and then just recently I lost my character in the 4e campaign as he held off an encounter we shouldn't have attempted to fight in the first place while the rest of the party got away.
No one else has lost any characters in the time I've been playing in this server.
Will I complete the hat trick before anyone else loses a character? (and to clarify, by "lose" I mean the character dies or is in some other way permanently taken out of action - not that we switch systems or I get bored with a character or anything like that)
Some details: * I am playing a Defender class with the new character (swordmage), so it is generally my character's job to take the hits for the party
* That said, my new character is dispositionally a bit less heroic and self-sacrificing than the last one (wandering scholar vs noble paladin), so she's less likely to do that sort of doomed retreat thing than the last one

Açık piyasalar

Entertainment

KALSHI

Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score

Above 5099%
Above 5599%
Above 60+2.0pt99%

+10 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim: ₺10,1 Mn
24s Hacim: ₺5,1 Mn

POLYMARKET

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?

950 - 960m+6.5pt73.3%
940 - 950m-5.5pt22.8%
970m++0.6pt2%

+2 daha fazla sonuç

KALSHI

Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond

Jack Lowden+15.0pt57%
Jack Barton-13.0pt21%
Callum Turner-10.0pt16%

+27 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim: ₺102,2 Mn

POLYMARKET

Next James Bond actor?

Jack Lowden+29.4pt51.4%
No Bond chosen-3.9pt18.1%
Jack Barton-4.5pt7.6%

+21 daha fazla sonuç

KALSHI

Practical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score

Above 45-58.0pt16%
Above 50-61.0pt4%
Above 55-51.0pt2%

+7 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim: ₺4,6 Mn

KALSHI

Oscar Winner: Best Picture

The Odyssey-3.0pt39.2%
Dune: Part Three-1.0pt9.6%
The Black Ball-1.0pt8.8%

+35 daha fazla sonuç

Toplam Hacim: ₺238,3 Mn

Sık sorulan sorular

Will I lose another character in my PbP RPG server before anyone else loses a character? için güncel oranlar nedir?: Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 70% fiyatlıyor.
Will I lose another character in my PbP RPG server before anyone else loses a character? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?: Will I lose another character in my PbP RPG server before anyone else loses a character? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
Will I lose another character in my PbP RPG server before anyone else loses a character? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?: Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: I've been playing in a PbP RPG campaign for just over a year now.

Bu piyasayla ilgili veri sorunu bildir