KalshiKullanılabilirliği kontrol etKYC gerekli%2 ücretDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel ima edilen olasılık
Hayır 70%
Piyasa kalitesi
46 / 100
Düşük kalite24s Hacim
—
Likidite
₺44 B
Düşük likiditeAlış / Satış
24.0% / 29.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Orta spreadPiyasa verileri
7 dakika önce güncellendi
11 Mar 26 14:00 UTC1 Oca 27 15:00 UTC
Trendler
İlgili Piyasalar
Bağlam için ilgili sorular; eşdeğer sözleşmelerin karşılaştırması değildir.
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PolymarketKurallar
If any sitting member of the United States Congress has announced that they have changed or will change their political party affiliation after Mar 11, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This Payout Criterion includes a member switching from partisan affiliation to independent, or independent to a given political party.
- This Payout Criterion also includes a member of Congress announcing that they will run for the next Congressional office, or in another future political campaign, in a different party's primary.
- For purposes of this Contract, partisan affiliation encompasses national party affiliations, and does not encompass regional political party affiliation.
- For example, a member announcing that they intend to join the Democratic Party instead of the Democratic-Farmers-Labor Party will not satisfy the Payout Criterion.
Açık piyasalar
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Kalshi, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 70% fiyatlıyor.
- Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2027.
- Will anyone else in Congress change parties in 2026? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Kalshi bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: If any sitting member of the United States Congress has announced that they have changed or will change their political party affiliation after Mar 11, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.