Will heart disease no longer be the leading cause of death in the US in any year prior to 2031?
JeopolitikOne-OffHealth & Medicine6yManifold MarketsKYC yokDoğrulanmış sonuçlanma verisiOrta düzey kalibreGüncel topluluk tahminiHayır 71.6%
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Guncelligini yitirmis27 Haz 23 15:10 UTC1 Oca 33 05:00 UTC
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The leading cause of death in the U.S. has been heart disease for many years, but the number of deaths from heart disease been declining faster relative to cancer.
- There is also the possibility of another, more deadly pandemic in the near future, and one also has to consider other possibilities such as a war with other nations.
- To be clear, I am including a mortality report for the year 2030 (this question includes the year 2030), and am considering the entire US population.
- Also, this question is about "the" leading cause of death, not "a" leading cause of death, so the question will only resolve YES if heart disease is no longer the top cause of death in the US for any of the years from 2022 up to and including 2030.
- It will resolve NO only if all mortality reports from 2022-2030 are released before the closing date and each has heart disease as the leading cause of death.
- If for some reason a mortality report is missing or is unavailable by the closing date, and no other authoritative, US governmental source is available to decide these criteria, the market will resolve N/A.
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Sık sorulan sorular
- Will heart disease no longer be the leading cause of death in the US in any year prior to 2031? için güncel oranlar nedir?
- Manifold Markets, 8 Eylül 2026 itibarıyla No için 72% fiyatlıyor.
- Will heart disease no longer be the leading cause of death in the US in any year prior to 2031? ne zaman sonuçlanacak?
- Will heart disease no longer be the leading cause of death in the US in any year prior to 2031? için öngörülen sonuçlanma tarihi 1 Ocak 2033.
- Will heart disease no longer be the leading cause of death in the US in any year prior to 2031? nasıl sonuçlandırılıyor?
- Manifold Markets bu piyasayı şu şekilde sonuçlandırır: The leading cause of death in the U.S. has been heart disease for many years, but the number of deaths from heart disease been declining faster relative to cancer.